Aviva Premiership Round Four Preview

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The first three weeks of the season have produced some outstanding rugby with high scoring matches up and down the land, here is my preview of the live matches on Friday and Saturday.

London Welsh v Gloucester (BT Sport Friday 7.45pm)

London Welsh enter round four still searching for their first victory of the season. But I expect that wait to go on against a Gloucester side who will be looking for a big backlash after a home loss to Exeter last week.

The Cherry and Whites have disappointed so far this season registering just one victory against Sale in week two. Big name signings Richard Hibbard and John Afoa haven’t had the impact many had hoped but they have played three very tough packs so far and this week they are in for a much easier ride. With the pack able to provide some front foot ball another summer signing James Hook could star this evening, and he is a great price to score the first try of the game.

Every fixture involving Welsh has produced 50 points or more and there is no reason to think anything will change this evening. The Exiles defence has been porous to say the least but they showed some good ambition at Bath in week two and can score if given open space. Backing over 6.5 tries in the match makes sense and I’d also recommend backing over 52.5 points in the match.

Best Bets
James Hook to score first 20/1 (SkyBet) 1pt win
Over 52.5 points 5/6 (Boylesports) 2pt win
Over 6.5 tries 11/10 (Bet365) 2pt win

Northampton v Bath (BT Sport Saturday 3.15pm)

Northampton welcome unbeaten Bath to Franklins Gardens on Saturday after two consecutive away games. Bath demolished 14 man Leicester Tigers 45-0 last week and now sit top of the table. The visitors have made a fast start to all their games so far this season and I would not be surprised to see them score a try to open the game.

This game is really too close to call in my eyes, Northampton are the reigning champion and are a formidable force at home. But Bath have made an excellent start to the season and I could see them leaving the Midlands with two points, the draw looks an great value bet. Also backing Bath/Draw on the half-time/full-time market at a whopping 66/1 is also great value in a game between two quality sides.

Best Bets
Draw 25/1 (Bet365) 1pt win
Bath try first scoring play 7/1 (BetVictor) 1pt win
Bath/Draw HT-FT 66/1 (Betfred) 0.5pt win

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